Election 2010 Masterpiece Analysis

by

Jim Hagedorn

(November 2, 2010)

Exactly one General Election Day ago I predicted a huge Barack Obama and Democratic landslide, but rejected the notion of an “Era of Obama.”  In fact, this space quite correctly noted that whenever the American People see liberalism for what it truly is, they reject it.  And so they will once again today.

Lyndon Johnson’s Great Society legislation in 1964-65 led to a big Republican comeback in 1966.  Carter’s malaise and liberal incompetence set the stage for Ronald Reagan’s vital 1980 victory that produced the end of the Cold War, a 20 year restoration of the American economy and the reestablishment of America as the world’s preeminent economic and military power.  Bill Clinton’s effort to impose national health care, increase taxes to record levels, and back door gays into the military led to the first Republican Congress in 40 years, a balanced budget, work-for-welfare legislation and limited government (until George W. Bush and his Texas lackeys rolled in and destroyed the Republican Party).

Obama’s slap down of sometimes Republican John McCain and the Democratic Party’s zeal to impose the worst of liberalism (national health care, $3 + trillion in deficit spending, cap and trade environmental extremism, openly gay behavior in the military, etc.) has set the stage for two consecutive reverse elections.

But Republicans and Tea Partiers need not get too excited over the electoral whipping that Obama-Pelosi-Reid and the rest of the Donkey Party are about to receive.  This election is about neutralizing Obama’s power, ending Pelosi’s Speakership and restoring some balance in the Congress to prevent the Left from further wrecking the Country.  

No matter how wonderful today’s result, Congressional Republicans will be in the “blocking” position for the next 2 years and can expect to enjoy little, if any, success repealing what Obama and the liberals have inflicted upon the United States.  Unfortunately, restoration of the Greatness of America will require two successful reverse elections.

To explain this further, Republicans will be all but powerless to repeal national health care, establish pro-growth policies to inspire the private sector, impose serious government reforms, or roll back the Democrat’s pro-homosexual rights and pro-abortion-on-demand agenda.

New Speaker of the House John Boehner will certainly position Republicans to block funds and prevent Obama’s minions from administering national health care.  And Republicans will fight tooth and nail to prevent President Obama and the liberals from doing more harm to our Republic.

But this election’s basic purpose is to prevent future havoc until additional reinforcements arrive in 2012.  This is a four year strategy and effort.  Victory in 2012 will create an 18 to 24 month window to save the United States – an incredible political feat that will require the election of a national leader on par with the great Ronald Reagan.

To restore conservatism and fix America, in 2012 Republicans must nominate a presidential candidate who understands how to outmaneuver the Left, beat back Washington DC, articulate a bold conservative vision and then have the political guts to force the Republican Congress to follow through and act like the conservatives they claim to be.

Say what you want about Obama-Pelosi-Reid and their socialist henchmen and women in the Congress, but they promised to implement liberalism and have been true to their word.  Of course, that is exactly why Tuesday, November 2nd is going to be a political bloodbath.

PRESIDENT

It’s never too early to handicap 2012.

Something to keep in mind: since 1960 only one President has departed the presidency and left his party in as good of political shape as when first elected.

Here’s a hint, that man was not Lyndon Johnson or Richard Nixon or Gerald Ford (although not elected) or Jimmy Carter or George H. W. Bush or Bill Clinton or certainly not George W. Bush.  That man was Ronald Reagan, the only President in most of our lifetimes to truly govern as a conservative and have the level of courage, vision and selflessness to push Americans to reach our full potential as a Nation.

Barack Obama is no Ronald Reagan.  Many in the media compare Obama’s presidency to Reagan’s, noting that Reagan had some tough economic times his first two years, but things worked out and the Gipper won one of the most awesome landslides of all time (shame on my North Star State for coming up 5,000 votes short of the sweep!)  But there is no legitimate comparison between the two men or their presidencies.

Reagan had a plan to restore the economy by wringing out inflation, cutting individual and business taxes across-the-board, restrain Federal spending, and eliminate bureaucrat regulations to restore economic opportunity and inspire growth.  Obama has implemented no such plan; in fact, his policies are prolonging economic agony and preventing job creation and any serious recovery.

Media hacks also compare Obama’s plight to that of Bill Clinton – the idea being that if Republicans takeover the Congress Obama will be able to fight against Republicans and win reelection just like Clinton.  But let’s not forget that Slick Willie inherited and enjoyed massive economic growth that helped the electorate overlook his narcissistic and liberal ways.

Obama is toast in 2012 – the only question is whether Republicans will be thoughtful and nominate a true conservative statesperson who will make a difference or go with “someone who can win.”  Remember that all the Bushies and Ford types warned that Reagan was unelectable.

In the Election 2008 Masterpiece Analysis I wrote that Governor Bobby Jindal of Louisiana would be the most logical person to lead the GOP in 2012.  But given the stakes and Jindal’s youth and brief chief executive tenure, I now believe that Governor Jindal is best suited as Vice President.

The best choice to lead Republicans in 2012, out-maneuver the Left and repeal and replace what Obama, Pelosi and Reid have done to America is one of the following three fine Americans:

Mississippi Governor Haley Barbour.  Governor Barbour is a successful Governor who understands how to maneuver and be successful Inside-the-Beltway.  Governor Barbour is a true conservative unconcerned with legacy, but would create one by doing the job Right.

South Dakota Senator John Thune.  Senator Thune is the Giant Slayer who killed Tom Daschele’s political career.  Writing about Daschele’s demise just never gets old!  Senator Thune is tall, camera-friendly, articulate and conservative.   Senator Thune could run on a platform of conservative policies and promise to remake America much like his low-tax, low-regulation, full employment, culturally conservative South Dakota.

New Jersey Governor Chris Christie.  Governor Christie is a fighter and has the political stones to take command, fight the left, tell it like it is and successfully lead. 

HILLARY

Secretary of State Clinton remains one of the least likable political figures in American history.  Yet, people are so mad with Obama that many utter: I’d rather have Hillary.  But had Clinton been elected, her android tones and pompous ways would have driven the public to rage.  In other words, we would have felt about Hillary exactly the way we did in 1993 when she was peddling Hillarycare and ordering the hit on those devoted civil servants of the White House Travel Office, especially fine American and golfing buddy JD.

Unless Hillary is a complete overzealous idiot, she will refrain from challenging Obama in 2012.  I predict Hillary will resign her State Department post, wait on the sidelines, do nothing to help President Obama as he loses reelection, and then come storming back in 2016 when she can run against a government completely dominated by those evil, greedy, heartless Republicans.

My G*d, we just cannot put a stake through the political heart of this #@%*&, can we?

U.S. SENATE

Republicans will win 8 seats making the new margin 51-49.  The Democrats will continue to control the Upper Chamber, but for the first time in many years the Republican Caucus will be more focused, courageous and conservative.

Democrats will have a rough time managing the anti-democratic chamber that requires 60 votes to change a light bulb, let alone save the Republic.  Republicans will work successfully as guerilla fighters to stymie Obama’s agenda and make liberal Democrat Senators look like the political hacks that they are.

 U.S. HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES

The over/under for Republican seats gained in 2010 is 55 ½.  I’m betting the over!

As predicted since March 2008, Speaker Nancy Pelosi (CCCP – San Francisco – North Mexico) will not be Speaker of the House or Democrat Minority Leader in the 112th Congress.

Democrats are going to take a beating and Mrs. Pelosi will resign or be booted by her caucus.  Besides, President Barack Obama does not want to run for reelection with Nancy Pelosi as the face of the Congressional Democrats.  So, Mrs. Pelosi, as they say in California, Adios!

GOVERNORS

Republicans will reverse the current slate of Governors (26 Democrat to 24 Republican) and reclaim a solid 32 to 18 majority.  This, combined with massive state legislature victories will enable the GOP to kick the remaining marginal Democrats out of the House of Representatives in 2012.

While Congressional Republicans will be hard pressed to secure enactment of meaningful conservative legislation, Republican Governors and Legislatures will aggressively implement conservatism and begin the process of restoring the Greatness of America. 

THE BONE-HEAD AWARD

The Bone-Head Award is given to the Republican politician who performs the most idiotic, immoral behavior that guarantees defeat and cuts short a promising career.

The 2010 recipient of the Bone-Head Award is South Carolina Governor and world traveler Mark Sanford.  Needless to say, this year’s vote was unanimous.

Governor Sanford was poised to use his strong conservative credentials and chairmanship of the Republican Governors Association to run for President of the United States in 2012.  Governor Sanford would likely have been a first-tier candidate and would have attracted serious support.

All was on track until the Governor decided to abandon his wife and children Father’s Day weekend 2009 and fly half way around the world to visit his girlfriend in Buenos Aires.

As a political matter, Governor Sanford should have attempted to provide some clever cover story to keep the media and political opponents off balance.  For example, he could have said “This weekend I’ll be spending my vacation just south of Colombia (a play on South Carolina’s capital city of Columbia) and may also travel near South of the Border” (a reference to the seedy I-95 tourist trap on the North Carolina, South Carolina border). 

Instead, the Governor told staff and press that he would be hiking in the nearby mountains.  Come on Governor, who were you trying to kid?  Even through that intense southern accent, we can dicpher the difference between “I’ll be on the Applachian Trail” and “…on some Argentine Tail.”

The recently divorced Sanford is set to leave office in disgrace this January.

STATE-BY-STATE ANALYSIS AND KEY RACES

 ALABAMA

Alabama Senate – Shelby vs. Who Knows/Who Cares 

Shelby, a Reagan Democrat turned Republican about 25 years ago, wins by 40. 

ALASKA 

Alaska Senate – Miller vs. Murkowski vs. McAdams

This U.S. Senate race brought to you by 3M!

Tea Party and Sarah Palin backed Joe Miller defeated incumbent Republican Senator Lisa Murkowski in the primary, but the Senator shunned the will of her party and is running as a write-in Independent candidate.  The Democrat in this three way extravaganza is Scott McAdams, who likely will finish last.

The race hinges upon Senator Merkowski’s ability to educate supporters to properly write in “Merekowski.”  Obviously, coaxing typical voters to accurately spell a tough name like Marcowski is a challenge. In the end, Mareqowski is defeated and Alaska is finally free of the longtime father-daughter political dynasty.  Miller wins 40 – Murcowski 35 – McAdams 25.

ARIZONA 

Arizona Governor – Brewer vs. Goddard

Republican Governor Jan Brewer assumed office when former Governor Janet Napolitano was confirmed as Secretary of Homeland Security.  Governor Brewer was less than popular and seemed headed to a rather embarrassing defeat until she championed Arizona’s commonsense law to enforce long neglected immigration laws.

Brewer will win by 10 and Republicans may pluck away 2 or 3 three Arizona House seats – all because of a strong Republican stand against immigration lawlessness.  Gee, given all the Hispanic voters in Arizona, how is this possible? 

ARKANSAS

Arkansas Senate – Boozman vs. Lincoln 

You must admire incumbent Democrat Senator Blanche Lincoln, who began her career on the Hill as a receptionist for former Congressman and left-wing communist sympathizer Bill Alexander.  The reason Alexander is former Representative Alexander is because Lincoln (then Blanche Lambert) ran for Congress in 1994 and defeated her former boss in the Democratic primary.

But leftist votes and a strong Deep South disdain for President Obama have caught up with Lincoln, who may set the record for the worst reelection performance of any Senator in U.S. history.  Blanche is blanched and Republican John Boozman wins by 30. 

CALIFORNIA 

California Governor – Whitman vs. Brown

What can Brown do for you?  Not much based upon past performance and not much given California’s status as Basket Case Numero Uno! 

Democrat Jerry Brown’s opponent is former E-BAY executive Meg Whitman, a suspect Republican who is set to blow $200 million to try and become California’s chief executive.  But Whitman’s bankroll has been trumped by two simple personal decisions that have come back to bite her – the first, her failure to exercise the right to vote for 25 years; the second, her 15 year employment of an illegal alien housekeeper who was fired about the time Meg became a serious candidate for public office.

Meg’s former housekeeper conspired with liberal activists to feign tears and brand the successful CEO as a thankless slave owner who forced employees to perform menial tasks.  Obviously, one task never heaped upon the housekeeper was driving the boss to the polls on Election Day!

California is in an economic default race with Greece.  Millions of high-paying taxpayers have fled the high-tax, excessively regulated state for safer ground in Utah, Idaho, Nevada, well, pretty much anywhere other than Minnesota and New York.  Meanwhile, the void of millionaires and high wage earners has been filled by millions of illegal aliens who cost taxpayers far more than they contribute.

California is an example of what will happen to the United States if conservatives do not reclaim the government and establish commonsense economic and law-and-order policies.  Perhaps, given California’s predicament, it may prove better to let Democrat Brown and the liberals in the California Assembly take full responsibility for the pending meltdown?  Brown wins by 6.

California Senate – Fiorina vs. Mrs. Unlikable

Whatever number of votes Jerry Brown receives for Governor, incumbent Democratic Senator Barbara Boxer will garner fewer.  Boxer is simply the most unlikable member of the United States Senate.  Senator Boxer’s arrogance and unattractive qualities are so overwhelming that, by comparison, she makes Nancy Pelosi look darn right lovable.

Mrs. Boxer’s opponent is former Hewlett-Packard CEO Carly Fiorina.  Candidate Fiorina is worthy of the job and would make a fine Senator, but Democrats enjoy huge registration advantages and election of Republican candidates for statewide office is a rarity.

Fiorina’s ace-in-the-hole is Boxer, whose Capitol Hill arrogance has been on display for 30 years.  One of Boxer’s more famous look-down-her-nose episodes involved the lecture of a military officer who respectfully called her “ma’am” during a committee hearing.  Boxer famously instructed the decorated general to call her “Senator” because she had earned the title.  

Well, ma’am, you have earned many titles during your congressional career, most of which cannot be printed in this space due to their four-letter nature.

In spite of it all, Boxer wins 51-49. 

California Bonus Special:  California’s REEFERendum to legalize marijuana use goes up in smoke and is defeated 55 to 45. 

COLORADO

Colorado Governor – Tancredo vs. Hickenlooper vs. Maes

Former Republican Congressman Tom Tancredo is waging a fierce third-party campaign.  Republican primary winner Dan Maes has all but dropped out of the race, having embarrassed himself with resume misrepresentations associated with law enforcement work in the State of Kansas.  

The race is still liberal Democrat John Hickenlooper’s to lose, but Tancredo is closing the gap with each passing hour.  If Tancredo wins, he will drive 100,000 illegal aliens to California and make Arizona’s immigration reform law look tame.  Ok, I’m going out on a limb and call this one for Tom Tancredo.  Tancredo wins by 1,000 votes. 

CONNECTICUT 

Connecticut Senate– Promoter of Fake Wrestlers vs. Promoter of Fake Viet Nam Vet

Linda McMahon, former Chief Executive Officer of World Wrestling Entertainment, surprised many by parlaying strong Tea Party support to win the Republican nomination.

McMahon made steady gains throughout the summer and briefly closed the gap against Democrat Richard Blumenthal after researchers uncovered that Blumenthal fabricated stories of Viet Nam combat.  

Blumenthal is one of the most seedy-looking candidates on the ballot this day, but the overwhelming Democratic majority propels him to an easy 10 point victory.

DELAWARE

Delaware Senate – Witch vs. Communist 

Republican Christine O’Donnell probably lost any chance of making this a competitive race against Democrat Chris Coons with release of her first advertisement in which she forcefully announced “I am not a witch.”

Had Republican campaign staff been half clever, the Tea Party favorite would have run the following spot:

A wide smiled O’Donnell looks into the camera, twitches her nose like the late Elizabeth Montgomery of Bewitched and says: Now if I was a real witch Barack Obama would no longer live in the White House, Obamacare would be repealed and replaced, Federal spending would be under control, and my wacky opponent would have converted to capitalism.  Unfortunately, we can’t twitch noses and solve the serious problems that confront our great Nation.  But you have the power to send me to Washington, D.C., and if you give me the honor of being your Senator, I will fight for you and all that we believe.  Please support my campaign and I ask for your vote.

Hey Republican operatives, this is not rocket science! 

Meanwhile, in a desperate attempt to sway First State voters O’Donnell’s campaign reversed course, took ownership of her witch status and implored Delaware to be the first to send a witch to the Senate.  But this ploy also backfired when political researchers reminded O’Donnell and voters that New York sent the first witch to the Senate in 2000. 

DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA

Thankfully, the Republican takeover of the House of Representatives will kill that stupid bill to grant the District of Columbia a vote in the House so long as Utah adds an additional congressional seat. 

FLORIDA

Florida Senate – Rubio vs. Crist vs. Meek 

Strong economic and cultural conservative Republican Marco Rubio has been leading this race for 10 months.  In fact, Rubio held a 2-1 lead over sitting Republican Governor Charlie Crist and prompted the moderate to abandon his Republican primary campaign and run as an Independent.  The third contestant is Kendrick Meek, an African-American who stands to win nothing more than the hard-core liberal vote. 

Rubio successfully attached Crist and Meek to President Obama and will win handily.  The sky is the limit for this attractive, young candidate.  Rubio wins 45 – Crist 33 – Meek 22. 

Florida House District 8 – Webster vs. Grayson 

Vile incumbent Democrat Allen Grayson is flushed out of DC after just one high-profile, controversial term.  Republican Daniel Webster is the beneficiary of Grayson’s asinine behavior and disgusting brand of liberalism.  Webster by 12. 

GEORGIA

Georgia House District 8 – Scott vs. Marshall

Incumbent Democrat Congressman Jim Marshall made national headlines by promising to vote against fellow Democrat Nancy Pelosi for Speaker of the House.  Problem for Marshall is that hard-right Republican Austin Scott is going to win an easy victory and kick the moderate Dem out of Congress. 

Even though I generally follow the Don Ruby Rule of never trusting a guy with two first names, Republican Scott defeats Congressman Marshall by 15.  In other words, Georgia polls close at 7:00 pm, Marshall concedes at 7:01 pm. 

HAWAII

Hawaii 5-0 is back on the air.  Finally CBS does something right! 

IDAHO

Idaho House District 1 – Labrador vs. Minnick 

Incumbent Democrat Congressman Walt Minnick was fortunate to win a close race in 2008.  Idaho is a conservative state, but the fact that Minnick’s contest was so close in the best Democratic election since Watergate tells us what we need to know. 

Republican Raul Labrador is right-wing and even though Congressman Minnick is a sensible Democrat, Labrador wins a nail-biter 50.1 – 49.9.  

ILLINOIS

Illinois Governor – Brady vs. Quinn 

Life is good.  Republicans are even kicking butt in Illinois, something that occurs every 20 years or so.  Conservative Republican Bill Brady is looking like a winner against incumbent Democrat Governor Pat Quinn.  Counting only votes cast by the living, Brady wins by 7, but adding the souls long departed shrinks the Republican’s margin to 4.  Still a solid and important win! 

Illinois Senate – Kirk vs. Giannoulias 

The contest to fill Barack Obama’s Senate seat has been tight from the start.  If Democrats are going to steal any election, it will be this one.  Republican Congressman Mark Kirk, a moderate, is running against lefty Alexi Giannoulias.  Kirk wins by 10,000 votes, if the count is fair.  Otherwise, Giannoulias takes it 51-49. 

INDIANA

Indiana House District 8 – Bucheson vs. Van Haaften 

Incumbent Democrat Congressman Brad Ellsworth vacated this seat to run for the Senate against former Republican Senator Dan Coats.  Let me put that contest to rest.  Coats crushes Ellsworth by 20. 

Now to the race at hand.  Republican Larry Bucheson and Trent Van Haaften are competing in a swing district that typically votes Republican for national and statewide contests, yet often sends moderate Democrats to the House of Representatives.  A Bucheson victory will signal a huge Republican turnout and probably guarantee that the GOP will cover the over 55 ½ seat spread.  Bucheson by 1,500 votes. 

IOWA 

Iowa Governor – Branstad vs. Culver 

Incumbent Democrat Chet Culver is about to be shellacked by former Republican Governor Terry Branstad.  Iowa is showing signs of again rejoining the Republic.  A couple more elections like this and we will conveniently forget that IOWA stands for Idiots Out Walking Around!  Branstad by 20. 

Republicans throughout the state will also get a needed boost as voters take out their frustration with liberal judges and legislators who imposed homosexual upon Iowa and then blocked efforts to allow voters to reverse the Supreme Court’s decision.

KANSAS

Kansas House District 3 – Yoder vs. Moore 

This is an open seat, of sorts, as Democratic Congressman Dennis Moore decided to retire and not face an angry electorate in this moderate-to-conservative District.  But in one of the strangest twists that I can recall, Moore’s wife, Stephene, is running to replace her husband.  It’s not atypical for a wife to succeed her husband in the House, but usually the guy is dead. 

Moore’s opponent is right-wing good guy Kevin Yoder who singlehandedly defeats the Moore tag team.  Yoder by 18. 

KENTUCKY

Kentucky Senate – Paul vs. Conway

Libertarian Tea Party Conservative Constitutionalist Republican Rand Paul, son of Congressman Ron Paul (R-Texas), came under campaign fire from Democrat opponent Jack Conway for alleged college pranks.   

According to Conway, Paul and a cohort effectively kidnapped a female student and forced her to kneel down and pledge allegiance to the god, Aqua Buddha.  On a related note, Paul’s supposed college antics drew stern “missed opportunity” rebuke from former President Bill Clinton, for reasons so obvious they need not be printed.

Paul never forcefully denied the incident, but claims no memory of the woman or the episode.  Paul awkwardly counter-punched, arguing that a candidate’s religious faith or lack thereof, is off limits.  Since when is any aspect of a politician’s life, short of delving into the lives of children, not fair game? After several days of Aqua Buddha press, the successful eye surgeon carted his attractive wife before the press to deflect criticism and attack Democrat Conway, a rather unusual step for a politician not charged with infidelity. 

Because this is assuredly a Republican landslide, Dr. Paul will prevail.  But I fear this replacement for strong conservative Senator and Hall of Fame MLB pitcher Jim Bunning may cause conservatives pain down the road.  Paul wins by 6. 

LOUISIANA

Louisiana Senate – Vitter vs. Melancon 

Republican Senator David Vitter briefly considered abandoning his reelection contest and moving to California after operatives of Jerry Brown’s campaign branded Republican Meg Whitman a “whore.”  Fortunately, cooler heads prevailed and the fine conservative incumbent decided to maintain his Louisiana residence.  Vitter cruises to an 18 point victory and puts the scandal behind him. 

At one point political pundits thought Vitter’s connection to a DC prostitution ring would harm his reelection bid.  But as the venerable Claude Vasser explains: We Louisianans don’t just tolerate corruption from our elected officials, we demand it! 

MAINE

A referendum to grant non-citizens the right to vote in Portland elections will prevail by exactly the number of illegal aliens voting in Portland’s election. 

MARYLAND

Maryland Governor – Ehrlich versus O’Malley  

Fine Republican Bob Ehrlich is trying to get even with liberal Democrat Martin O’Malley who defeated Ehrlich in 2006.  Sadly, Maryland remains a basket case for advocates of freedom and three consecutive competitive races over the last 8 years seem to have sapped some of Ehrlich’s normally reliable campaign fire.  O’Malley is reelected by 8 and Ehrlich begins to fade from elective politics. 

MASSACHUSETTS

Massachusetts House District 4 – Beilat vs. Frank 

Democratic Congressman, exotic cultural explorer, left winger extraordinaire Barney Frank is not enjoying this latest competition for his seat.  The Chairman of the Committee on Financial Services and overseer of the housing crash is being pushed to the limit by conservative Republican and Iraq veteran Sean Beilat. 

Congressman Frank has been in office 30 years.  To say Frank’s career has been a DC version of the “cage aux folles” is putting things mildly.  Recall that in the mid-80s Barney lived with Steve Gobie, a real life homosexual gigolo who turned tricks on Barney’s house floor while Barney turned liberal tricks on the House floor.    

Gobie’s clients often lasted longer than expected and received parking tickets from the District of Columbia’s only effecient agency.  To help his boyfriend, Frank used his congressional power to fix the tickets, claiming that they were received on official business.  This and other matters led to Frank’s House censure.  Frank’s behavior so appalled Massachusetts constituents that over the decades he was sent back to Washington with ever-increasing margins of victory.  

Meanwhile, back to the current contest.  If you think that the kooks who have rubber stamped this kook for 30 years are going to kick him out because liberals are running wild in DC, then you are in need of a full political lobotomy.  But fear not, Frank’s mere presence in the Congress benefits the GOP.  Barney Frank is for all intents and purposes the face and moral concience of the Democrat party. 

Congressman Frank is reelected and wins by 16. 

MICHIGAN

Michigan House District 15 – Dingell vs. Steele 

Longtime national health care advocate John Dingell appears to be in a competitive race against Republican Rob Steele.  While Obamacare will cause many unnecessary deaths in the future, Dingell’s political life will not be one of them.  Dingell, LXXXIII, was first elected in 1955.  Due to the Congressman’s deteriorating health, relatively young wife Debbie has begun to warm up in the bullpen.  Dingell wins by 17 

MINNESOTA

Minnesota Governor – Emmer vs. Dayton vs. Horner 

Democratic Farmer Labor candidate Mark Dayton is a passionless millionaire who seems to treat politics as a hobby.  Dayton’s most recent political experience, Senator from 2000-06, was such a complete debacle that he decided to retire, rather than face the voters in a great year for Democrat candidates.

Dayton has stressed his experience some two plus decades ago as the economic and jobs guru for former liberal Governor Rudy Perpich.  Dayton’s pitch is that his service for Governor Perpich proves an ability to create jobs.  And yes, a review of the record does confirm that thousands of jobs were created during Perpich and Dayton’s high-tax, excessive regulation administration.  Unfortunately for Dayton most of those jobs were created for folks in North Dakota, South Dakota, Iowa and Wisconsin, as Minnesota businesses fled the state.

Republican candidate Tom Emmer has run a solid campaign, focusing attention on his commonsense conservative philosophy.  Emmer’s campaign received high marks for releasing a detailed plan to restrain government spending and establish a business climate that attracts businesses to Minnesota and promotes in-state business expansion.

The third entrant in the race is Independence Party nominee Tom Horner.  Horner is simply a mascot for liberal, rich pusedo Republicans and his candidacy can only spoil an Emmer victory. i.e. a vote for Horner is a vote for Dayton and higher taxes.  

Thankfully, all the late momentum is with Emmer, who will earn a close win.  Emmer 44 – Dayton 43 – Liberal Republican Mascot 13.  

Prediction:  Tom Emmer will govern as a principled conservative and be recognized as the Midwest’s version of New Jersey Governor Chris Christy. 

Minnesota House District 1 – Demmer vs. Walz

In order to defeat an Obama-worshiping liberal congressman in a swing District the challenger must present a strong conservative message, attack relentlessly on the issues and motivate the public to kick the Pelosi-serving lapdog out of office. 

Political observers who believe that Republican Randy Demmer has sufficiently and effectively taken the campaign to Democratic Farmer Labor Congressman Tim Walz are few and far between.

Walz, a teacher’s union teacher, is the most liberal congressman in southern Minnesota’s history.  Walz is out of step with his constituents on everything from Obamacare to Cap and Trade environmental extremism to promoting special preferences for homosexuals to abortion-on-demand to stimulus deficit spending to amnesty for illegal aliens to higher taxes to anti-business policies like Card Check to….

Unfortunately, unless tonight’s Republican tidal wave is forceful enough to offset the challenger’s weak and less than contentious campaign, Walz is likely to survive.  Given Walz’s overt liberalism and the 1st District’s moderate-to-conservative composition, this may be the most disappointing result of all U.S. House races this cycle.

Minnesota District 6 – Bachmann vs. Every Last Democrat on Earth 

I get why former President Bill Clinton spent part of the campaign sniffing around Minnesota’s 6th District.  Republican incumbent Michelle Bachmann is just that hot.  But why did all those other Democrats waste time campaigning against the feisty conservative?  

Bachmann drives the left crazy, and truth be known she upsets a few Republicans from time-to-time as well.  But the photogenic, articulate conservative firebrand will remain a white hot commodity for the foreseeable future.  Bachmann wins by 12 and is positioned to call her next gig.

Minnesota District 8 – Cravaack vs. Oberstar 

It’s as if voters from this northeast congressional district have been in some sort of Rip Van Winkle 30 year slumber.  After sending Democratic Farmer Labor Congressman Jim Oberstar back to Congress for 15 G-awful terms (with never less than 60% of the vote), it appears that Republican Chip Cravaack is set to save humanity.  Better late than never!  Cravaack wins by 2,500 votes and Hell freezes over! 

MISSISSIPPI 

Mississippi House District 4 – Palazzo vs. Taylor 

Democrat Gene Taylor is about as Republican as any Democrat on Capitol Hill.  Taylor routinely receives 75% of the vote and represents one of the most conservative congressional districts in the nation.  Taylor’s opponent is Steven Palazzo, who probably could have won this race simply by promising to never vote for Nancy Pelosi as Speaker.  Palazzo hammered Taylor over and again for being on the wrong team and the right-wing Republican will win a close battle 52-48. 

MISSOURI 

Missouri Senate – Blunt vs. Carnahan 

Let’s be blunt, Missouri’s Carnahans are like roaches.  Every time one is politically killed off another crawls our from under the political baseboard.  Republican Roy Blunt, the former House Republican Minority Whip, easily defeats Robin Carnahan, 56-44.

 

MONTANA 

Nothing to report. 

NEBRASKA 

Nebraska Governor – Heineman vs. Meister

Incumbent Republican Governor Dave Heineman will cruise to victory over his hapless Democrat opponent.  Governor Heineman by 50.

NEVADA 

Nevada Senate – Angle vs. Reid

Republican Sharron Angle has the Senate’s Majority Leader confounded.  How can he be losing to such an extremist?  Well, truth be known, this election has nothing to do with Angle.  

Reid’s high profile status as Barack Obama’s water boy and Nancy Pelosi’s surf has exposed the Majority Leader as the Ritz-Carlton, Washington, D.C. liberal that he is.  

Reid’s scam to vote socialist in the Senate and then feign pro-gun, anti-abortion Mr. Nice guy Mormonism in Nevada is over.  Angle wins by 5,000 votes. 

NEW HAMPSHIRE 

New Hampshire is finally back on track.  Republicans retain Judd Gregg’s Senate seat and win back both House seats.  Live free or die! 

NEW JERSEY 

The New York Jets dirty trick to drop provocative details of Minnesota Vikings quarterback Bret Favre, alleging sexual harassment and sexting of hot Jets employee Jen Sterger, right before the Vikings visited New Jersey’s new Meadowlands Stadium, brought into question Favre’s ability to lead the Vikings to that elusive Super Bowl victory.  But we now know for certain that Favre is qualified to serve as a Member of Congress or Governor of South Carolina!

NEW MEXICO 

New Mexico House District 2 – Pearce vs. Teague 

Incumbent Democrat Congressman Harry Teague is being pressed by former Republican Congressman Steve Pearce, who quit the House and ran for the Senate in 2008.  Pearce reclaims the seat with a 5 point win. 

NEW YORK

New York Governor – Paladino vs. Cuomo 

Republican candidate Carl Paladino has run a spirited campaign.  First the Tea Party favorite hammered the press for not exploring Democrat Andrew Cuomo’s alleged extramarital affairs, which occurred prior to the Attorney General’s divorce.  Next Paladino expressed his displeasure with the gay lifestyle and received all sorts of crap.

Paladino’s high-risk campaign strategy would have delivered a knock-out blow, had Mr. Cuomo cheated on his wife with another man.  The  Cuomo is a Homo campaign would have been a consultant’s dream come true.

Paladino seems a bit unhinged and it was particularly telling when the Rent Is Too Damn High candidate suggested that Paladino be barred from debates so voters could hear from only the viable candidates.  Andrew Cuomo wins by 25. 

NORTH CAROLINA 

North Carolina District 11 – Shuler vs. Miller 

Conservative Democrat and incumbent Congressman Heath Shuler is trying to hang on to this Republican-leaning seat.  Shuler is a true Blue Dog Democrat and has promised to run for Speaker if the Democats retain the majority.

Shuler’s opponent is conservative businessman Jeff Miller.  Miller has run a decent race and the huge anti-Democratic tide sacks the former University of Tennessee and Washington Redskins quarterback.  Miller wins by 900 votes. 

NORTH DAKOTA 

Finally the conservative folks of North Dakota have begun to comprehend that sending Democrats to Washington, D.C. who misrepresent them on the floor of the House and Senate is bad for all.  

Republicans pick up the Senate seat vacated by phony Byron Dorgan and also defeat Democrat incumbent Congressman Earl Pomeroy.  Next on the list is liberal Senator Kent Conrad.  You better enjoy your last two years in office, Kent, because we are going to take you out in 2012, and not like on a date. 

OHIO 

Ohio Governor – Kasich vs. Strickland 

Former Republican Congressman John Kasich has run just a strong enough campaign to defeat incumbent Democrat Governor Ted Strickland .  Strickland is no left-wing Obama-type, but he stands as an impediment to conservative reforms and will be narrowly defeated.  Kasich wins by 4. 

Ohio Senate – Portman vs. Fisher  

Just conservative enough Rob Portman will easily defeat liberal Lee Fisher.  Portman by 20. 

Ohio House District 1 – Chabot vs. Driehaus 

The battle of two Steves.  Republican Steve Chabot was defeated for reelection by current incumbent Democrat Steve Driehaus in 2008.  The election was an aberration and the conservative Chabot reclaims his seat with a smooth 9 point win. 

Ohio House District 15 – Stivers vs. Kilroy 

A rematch from 2008.  Conservative Steve Stivers will win a solid victory over leftist Mary Jo Kilroy.  Stivers by 8. 

OKLAHOMA 

Oklahoma Governor – Fallin vs. Askins 

Conservative Republican Congresswoman Mary Fallin is poised to obliterate her female competitor, Lt. Governor Jari Askins.  Fallin by 20. 

OREGON 

Oregon House District 4 – DeFazio vs. Robinson 

Left wing incumbent Democrat Peter DeFazio is struggling to retain this Oregon swing seat.  DeFazio is being challenged by businessman Art Robinson.  Under normal circumstances an incumbent Democrat would have a huge advantage in this quasi-communist state.  But not this year.  DeFazio loses by 2 points and Republicans cover the over 55 ½ House seats.

PENNSYLVANIA 

Pennsylvania Senate – Toomey vs. Sestak 

The fact that hard core conservative Republican Patrick Toomey is competitive in Democrat-trending Pennsylvania points to a strong anti-Obama sentiment, you know that clinging to guns and religion and stuff.

The fact that Toomey has consistently led in the polls for over a year either indicates the world’s end or that Democrats are about to suffer the worst election loss in 100 years.  Based upon the Toomey indicator alone, this could be an 80 seat night!

The best thing about this race is that Arlen Specter was defeated, so we are assured to never hear from that sniveling liberal again.  Hard to believe but Patrick Toomey is going to the Senate.  Toomey romps by 4. 

Pennsylvania House District 11 – Barletta vs. Kanjorski 

This is a rematch from 2008, when Republican Lou Barletta was thought to be in position to defeat longtime corrupt Democrat Paul Kanjorski.  Kanjorski skated by Barletta, and the FBI, in 2008, but this time goes to political jail.  Barletta by 5. 

Pennsylvania House District 8 – Fitzpatrick vs. Murphy 

Sounds like the Catholic Bowl, but it’s really a rematch from 2006 when Democrat Patrick Murphy upset Republican Michael Fitzpatrick.   

Murphy is an Iraq War veteran who typically uses the uniform to defend pathetic Democrat Party positions on military matters.  During the current Congress Murphy was the chief House sponsor of the bill to end the Pentagon’s Don’t Ask, Don’t Tell policy that prohibits openly gay service in the Armed Forces.  Murphy’s bill passed the House, but thankfully was blocked in the Senate by 43 thoughtful Senators.

Using House members with military experience to deflect asinine liberal positions on defense issues is nothing new for Democrats.  Until his untimely death earlier this year, good ole John Murtha of Pennsylvania was used famously for this purpose by liberals for three decades.

Fitzpatrick wins by 3 and Murphy is shot in the rear by his own troops.

RHODE ISLAND 

Senator Ted Kennedy’s death, combined with Representative Patrick Kennedy’s decision to retire means that for the first time in 40+ years the Congress will not contain a Kennedy.  This is indeed tragic news for Congressional Liquors and the Irish Times, but for the rest of us: GLORIOUS! 

SOUTH CAROLINA 

South Carolina Governor – Haley vs. Sheheen 

Attractive Tea Party conservative Nikki Haley’s campaign has been beset by charges of marital infidelity.  The fact that two former GOP operatives signed affidavits alleging one-night stands with the Republican state legislator is shocking, but what has truly raised eyebrows in the Palmetto State is that neither man is named Mark Sanford.

Haley’s opponent is Vincent Sheheen, who is only within striking distance because of the Republican’s personal scandal.  Haley wins by 15 in this right of right-wing states. 

SOUTH DAKOTA 

South Dakota House District (At Large) – Noem vs. Herseth-Sandlin 

Republican Christy Noem is simply more attractive and conservative than incumbent Democrat Stephanie Herseth-Sandlin.  Case closed.  Noem wins by 5 and I predict the feisty rancher and conservative Christian will cut into Michelle Bachmann’s TV airtime during this next Congress. 

TENNESSEE 

Tennessee Governor – Haslam vs. McWherter 

Republican Bill Haslam is about to bury Democrat Mike McWherter.  The Deep South’s hatred for Obama liberalism propels Haslam to a cage match 30 point beat down. 

TEXAS 

Texas House District 23 – Ciro Rodriguez vs. Quico Canseco 

Democrat incumbent Ciro Rodriguez is under fire for voting with the Pelosi machine way to often for this swing district.  Republicans found an authentic challenger in Quico Canseco (actually some white businessman who changed his name to run in this Hispanic-dominated District that shares a long border with Mexico…ok, just kidding, but the idea may have merit down the road…we will call it the Geraldo Rivera strategy).  Canseco wins by 250 votes. 

UTAH 

It’s hard to imagine how Utah’s saturated conservative vote could become more Republican, but tonight’s the night!

VERMONT 

Gosh, since loser lefty RINO Jim Jeffords departed the Senate, there isn’t much reason to even discuss this State’s politics.  

VIRGINIA 

Virginia House District 5 – Richard Hurt vs. Tom Perriello 

Democrat freshman Congressman Tom Perriello is the poster child for Obama-Pelosi liberalism.  Perriello defeated fine American and conservative Congressman Virgil Goode by less than 1,000 votes in this south-central District that encompasses Charlottesville and great cities like Crozet and Free Union.  Yet Perriello felt compelled to collect all the socialist playing cards during this past Congress: Cap and Trade; Obamacare; Stimulus; Gays in the Military, repeating, repeating. 

The Congressman’s opponent is Richard Hurt, a successful businessman and state Senator who will easily defeat liberal Perriello.  Hurt wins by 10.  Take that you UVA commies! 

WASHINGTON 

Washington Governor – Rossi vs. Murray 

Democrat incumbent Patty Murray is running neck-and-neck with Republican Dino Rossi.  Rossi has been on the statewide ballot 3 times the past 8 years, having previously lost two close races for governor, one by just 133 votes.

Republicans always seem to be competitive in Washington but never break thru in the land of Starbucks and rain.  Senator Murray is just enough of a light weight to help the polished and issue-based Rossi win one for the GOP.  Rossi by 134 votes. 

WEST VIRGINIA

West Virginia Senate – Raese vs. Manchin 

Democrat Governor Joe Manchin (pronounced mansion) is in a coal-burning, gun-firing, Bible-thumping, sibling-dating barn-burner with Republican candidate John Raese.  Manchin and Raese are seeking to fill the final four years of the late Senator Robert C. Byrd’s term.  Senator Byrd (KKK-WV) died in office earlier this year.

West Virginia has been leaning heavily towards the Republican Party ever since Algore began his quest to jack up the price of energy, shift economic power to China, India and Brazil, and eliminate every last good-paying fossil fuel job in the United States, beginning with West Virginia’s coal miners.

Even so, Governor Manchin may be popular enough to win in this pro-Republican environment; however, he will have a difficult time filling the shoes of Senator Byrd who was a master legislator and successful appropriator for his relatively poor state.  Manchin wins by 2. 

WISCONSIN 

Wisconsin Senate – Johnson vs. Feingold 

Liberal incumbent Senator Russ Feingold probably didn’t see this one coming, but disdain for Obama-Pelosi-Reid liberalism has even PO’d his more liberal-than-not cheese head constituents.  

Feingold’s opponent is conservative Republican and successful businessman Rob Johnson.  Senator Feingold has never garnered overwhelming support and it’s fitting that judicially repealed provisions of the incumbent protection law known as McCain-Feingold will assist the Senator’s defeat.  Johnson wins by 7. 

WYOMING 

As always, the only residents not voting Republican are the ones Dick ‘Big Time’ Cheney shot in the head or ran off the road on his record number of DWI convictions.

* The Election 2010 Masterpiece Analysis is dedicated to Tommy “Vaygas!” Kiley III, a great friend who is fighting for his life.  Get well, Tommy!

Posted on November 1st, 2010 by Mr. Conservative
Filed under: The Masterpiece Analysis Collection